Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.