Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 40%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.