Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match.