Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.