Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.