Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.
