Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
