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League Two | Gameweek 9
Sep 25, 2021 at 3pm UK
Borough Sports Ground
CU

Sutton
4 - 0
Carlisle

Whelan (4' og.), Smith (37', 70'), Ajiboye (81')
Goodliffe (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mampala (56'), Dickenson (56')
Mampala (71')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
38.25%28.72%33.03%
Both teams to score 45.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96%61.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97%81.02%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13%30.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84%67.15%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72%34.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.02%70.98%
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 38.24%
    Carlisle United 33.02%
    Draw 28.71%
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-1 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 1.64%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.24%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.02%

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