SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 41.05% | 26.27% | 32.68% |
| Both teams to score 52.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% | 51.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.37% | 73.63% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% | 24.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.43% | 59.57% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% | 29.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.1% | 65.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.68% |
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