Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.