SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
55.88% ( -0.13) | 23.33% ( 0.01) | 20.79% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.88% ( 0.11) | 48.11% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.72% ( 0.11) | 70.27% ( -0.11) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( -0.01) | 17.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( -0.01) | 47.2% ( 0.01) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( 0.19) | 37.46% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.76% ( 0.18) | 74.24% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 55.87% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.79% |
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