Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
47.74% ( -1.28) | 25.49% ( 0.48) | 26.77% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 51.91% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.64% ( -1.37) | 51.37% ( 1.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.81% ( -1.21) | 73.19% ( 1.21) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( -1.11) | 21.52% ( 1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.42% ( -1.73) | 54.59% ( 1.73) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.14% ( -0.08) | 33.86% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.48% ( -0.09) | 70.53% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.77% |
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