SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
57.99% ( 0.31) | 22.61% ( -0.14) | 19.41% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% ( 0.36) | 46.88% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.87% ( 0.33) | 69.13% ( -0.33) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( 0.23) | 15.88% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.9% ( 0.42) | 45.1% ( -0.42) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( 0.02) | 38.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% ( 0.02) | 74.96% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 19.41% |
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