Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
