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League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
BC

Doncaster
1 - 3
Bradford

Ironside (7')
Senior (65')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cook (27', 85'), Smith (43')
Richards (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Doncaster Rovers 0-2 Bradford City

While there is not much to split these two sides on quality, Doncaster Rovers continue to struggle to live up to expectations, while Bradford appear to be clicking under Alexander, and we fancy them to continue their winning run in Friday's Yorkshire derby given the hosts' lack of momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawBradford City
38.99% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04) 25.81% (0.0030000000000001 0) 35.19% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)49.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)71.49% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)24.92% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)59.55% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)27.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.43% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 38.99%
    Bradford City 35.19%
    Draw 25.8%
Doncaster RoversDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 38.99%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Doncaster 0-5 Morecambe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 3-0 Forest U21s
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Doncaster 3-1 Colchester
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Doncaster
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Bradford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 4-0 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Bradford
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 5-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Notts County 4-2 Bradford
Saturday, November 18 at 12.30pm in League Two


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