Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
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