Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.