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League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 6, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Brunton Park
SU

Carlisle
2 - 0
Scunthorpe

Mellish (60', 62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Loft (45+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Scunthorpe United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawScunthorpe United
45.46%27.18%27.37%
Both teams to score 47.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.57%57.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.76%78.24%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8%25.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06%59.94%
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36%36.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58%73.43%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 45.45%
    Scunthorpe United 27.37%
    Draw 27.17%
Carlisle UnitedDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 12.72%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.45%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 9.27%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 27.37%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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