Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.