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League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Rodney Parade
HT

Newport
4 - 0
Harrogate

Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Harrogate Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town
47.07%25.79%27.13%
Both teams to score 51.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.66%52.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97%74.02%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77%22.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35%55.65%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92%34.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23%70.76%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 47.07%
    Harrogate Town 27.13%
    Draw 25.79%
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.39%
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.15%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 27.13%

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