Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
