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League Two | Gameweek 23
Jan 12, 2021 at 7pm UK
St. James' Park
BL

Exeter
1 - 1
Bolton

Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
58.57%22.86%18.57%
Both teams to score 49.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88%49.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81%71.19%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55%16.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.85%46.15%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.57%40.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95%77.05%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 58.57%
    Bolton Wanderers 18.57%
    Draw 22.86%
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 12%
2-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 5.9%
4-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 2.66%
4-2 @ 1.21%
5-0 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 58.57%
1-1 @ 10.87%
0-0 @ 6.65%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 6.03%
1-2 @ 4.92%
0-2 @ 2.73%
1-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.57%

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