Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
