Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
