Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
