Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
