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League Two | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2020 at 7pm UK
Rodney Parade
CU

Newport
2 - 1
Colchester

Twine (51'), Amond (90+1')
Labadie (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brown (89')
Harriott (29'), Stevenson (34')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Colchester United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawColchester United
37.35%27.65%35.01%
Both teams to score 48.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.05%56.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14%77.86%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61%29.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62%65.38%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16%30.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88%67.12%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 37.35%
    Colchester United 35%
    Draw 27.64%
Newport CountyDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 37.35%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.07%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 6.27%
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 35%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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