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League Two | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
MT

Newport
2 - 1
Mansfield

Twine (78'), Dolan (88' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
McLaughlin (69')
Perch (65'), O'Keeffe (87'), Smith (87')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Mansfield Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawMansfield Town
41.35%28.64%30.02%
Both teams to score 44.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.6%61.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.7%81.3%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76%29.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.19%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31%36.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52%73.48%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 41.35%
    Mansfield Town 30.01%
    Draw 28.62%
Newport CountyDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 13.19%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 41.35%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 30.01%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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