Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.