Cheltenham
1 - 1
Newport

Blair (45+5')
Raglan (56'), Tozer (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

King (12')

Data Analysis

Tom King's long-range strike part of football history

Newport goalkeeper Tom King scores from own area against Cheltenham

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Newport County
45.24%	26.66%	28.09%

Both teams to score 49.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.84%

55.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.59%

76.4%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7%

24.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33%

58.67%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17%

34.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44%

71.56%

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 45.24%

Newport County 28.09%

Draw 26.65%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.24%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.15% Total : 28.09%