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League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
OA

Northampton
2 - 1
Oldham

Guthrie (14'), Etete (38')
McWilliams (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Piergianni (54')
Piergianni (45+2'), McGahey (90+5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Oldham Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawOldham Athletic
51.05%25.05%23.9%
Both teams to score 50.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16%51.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4%73.59%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32%52.68%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.43%36.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65%73.35%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 51.04%
    Oldham Athletic 23.9%
    Draw 25.04%
Northampton TownDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-1 @ 9.49%
2-0 @ 9.44%
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 51.04%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 23.9%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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