Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
