Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
