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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
NT

Gillingham
2 - 2
Northampton

Oliver (11'), Lee (68')
O'Keefe (32'), Cundy (42'), Samuel (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Edmondson (79'), Horsfall (83')
Watson (14'), Mills (40'), Morris (55')
Coverage of the League One clash between Gillingham and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawNorthampton Town
51.35%25.37%23.27%
Both teams to score 48.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37%53.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87%75.13%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1%20.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.38%53.62%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.86%38.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.1%74.9%
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 51.35%
    Northampton Town 23.27%
    Draw 25.37%
GillinghamDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 12.47%
2-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 51.35%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 7.68%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.7%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.27%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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