Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.