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League Two | Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
CT

Port Vale
2 - 0
Crawley

Cullen (39', 66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCrawley Town
46.71%25.55%27.75%
Both teams to score 52.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01%50.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15%72.85%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17%21.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95%55.05%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12%32.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55%69.45%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 46.7%
    Crawley Town 27.75%
    Draw 25.55%
Port ValeDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 8.31%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 46.7%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.75%


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