Crawley
1 - 3
Millwall

Ashford (33')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Malone (14'), Tunnicliffe (31' og.), Smith (60')
Wallace (66')

Data Analysis

Gary Rowett hails Millwall performance in EFL Cup

The Match

Match Report

Scott Malone and Matt Matthew Smith were on target either side of a Jordan Tunnicliffe own goal, while Sam Ashford replied for the hosts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Millwall
33.41%	25.59%	40.99%

Both teams to score 55.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19%

48.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09%

70.91%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16%

27.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.56%

63.44%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.4%

23.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.33%

57.67%

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 33.41%

Millwall 40.99%

Draw 25.59%

Crawley Town	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.41%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.99%