Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
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