Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
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