Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Newport County | 2 | -1 | 1 |
18 | Grimsby Town | 2 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Swindon Town | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 2 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Crewe Alexandra | 2 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
45.09% ( -0.05) | 25.13% ( 0.01) | 29.78% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.12% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.87% ( -0.03) | 48.12% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.71% ( -0.03) | 70.28% ( 0.03) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.64% ( -0.04) | 21.36% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.67% ( -0.06) | 54.33% ( 0.05) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% ( 0.01) | 29.91% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.99% ( 0.01) | 66.01% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.09% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.78% |
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