Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
