Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
