Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.