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Thursday, March 28
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League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 20, 2021 at 1pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
CU

Stevenage
3 - 1
Carlisle

Pett (23'), Norris (60'), Read (71')
Lines (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dickenson (55')
Guy (45+2'), Tanner (45+2')
McDonald (18')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Stevenage and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawCarlisle United
27.01%27.77%45.21%
Both teams to score 45.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.29%59.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98%80.01%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81%38.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05%74.94%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64%26.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49%61.5%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 27.01%
    Carlisle United 45.2%
    Draw 27.77%
StevenageDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 4.67%
3-1 @ 2%
3-0 @ 1.5%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 27.01%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 13.41%
0-2 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-3 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.33%
1-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 45.2%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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