Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
