Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
