Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.