Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.