Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
