Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.