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League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
TR

Carlisle
0 - 1
Tranmere


Clough (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
MacDonald (48' og.)
Hawkes (65'), Spearing (90+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Tranmere Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
29.29%28.14%42.57%
Both teams to score 45.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.02%59.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.78%80.23%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52%36.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73%73.27%
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13%27.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52%63.49%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 29.28%
    Tranmere Rovers 42.57%
    Draw 28.13%
Carlisle UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 6.6%
2-0 @ 5.17%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.28%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 12.99%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 8.3%
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 42.57%

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